Connor Bedard vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Ek 49.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 60.3%
Defensive zone
Ek 60.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 67.2%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Bedard
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Bedard
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Bedard
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Ek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
48.1% (858)
-3.9%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
53.3% (272)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
47.9% (188)
+5.9%
On power play, Bedard has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Ek is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Bedard
Ek
Home
50.7% (223)
49.9% (693)
Away
42.6% (331)
48.3% (625)
By Period
Bedard
Ek
P1
40.2%
47.4%
P2
49.2%
53.1%
P3
47.2%
46.3%
OT
57.1%
54.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |