Connor Bedard vs Joel Eriksson Ek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Bedard wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.4% vs Ek 47.8% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 52.7%
Defensive zone
Ek 51.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 51.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Bedard
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Bedard
Ek
Last 10: Bedard 4-6 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Ek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Ek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
2
4
Bedard
Ek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,635)
47.5% (6,717)
-7.3%
Power Play
51.8% (83)
55.1% (1,500)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
40.3% (1,176)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Bedard is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,259).
Bedard shoots right. Ek is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,256).
Home / Away
Bedard
Ek
Home
43.3% (785)
48.6% (4,644)
Away
38.9% (957)
47.0% (4,749)
By Period
Bedard
Ek
P1
38.9%
46.8%
P2
41.2%
49.5%
P3
42.5%
46.7%
OT
42.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
44.9%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 10:22 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |