Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Beniers 48.8% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 58.9%
Defensive zone
Beniers 51.9%
Neutral zone
Beniers 57.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Bedard
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bedard
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
48.3% (862)
-4.1%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
58.3% (36)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
50.0% (32)
+3.8%
On power play, Bedard has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Beniers is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Bedard
Beniers
Home
50.7% (223)
52.4% (460)
Away
42.6% (331)
45.1% (470)
By Period
Bedard
Beniers
P1
40.2%
47.5%
P2
49.2%
50.6%
P3
47.2%
47.6%
OT
57.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |