Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Bedard wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.4% vs Beniers 46.6% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 53.4%
Defensive zone
Bedard 57.8%
Neutral zone
Bedard 54.6%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Bedard
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Bedard
Beniers
Last 10: Bedard 3-7 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
2
Bedard
Beniers
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
Bedard
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
4
Bedard
Beniers
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,635)
46.5% (3,825)
-6.3%
Power Play
51.8% (83)
47.8% (360)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
41.4% (111)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Bedard is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,259).
Bedard shoots right. Beniers is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Home / Away
Bedard
Beniers
Home
43.3% (785)
48.9% (2,195)
Away
38.9% (957)
44.0% (2,101)
By Period
Bedard
Beniers
P1
38.9%
47.2%
P2
41.2%
47.0%
P3
42.5%
45.7%
OT
42.9%
34.8%
Final 5 min
44.9%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:11 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:09 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:40 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |