Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Bedard 70.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.6%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Bedard
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
49.7% (292)
-5.5%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
50.0% (6)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
47.2% (36)
+6.6%
On power play, Bedard has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Bedard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Bedard shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Bedard
Bjugstad
Home
50.7% (223)
48.7% (193)
Away
42.6% (331)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Bedard
Bjugstad
P1
40.2%
41.5%
P2
49.2%
57.3%
P3
47.2%
50.0%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%