Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Roy 51.9% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 74.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 58.9%
Neutral zone
Bedard 53.9%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Bedard
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Bedard
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Bedard
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
51.9% (547)
-7.7%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
54.1% (37)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
53.3% (92)
+0.5%
On power play, Bedard has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Bedard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Bedard shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Bedard
Roy
Home
50.7% (223)
54.0% (328)
Away
42.6% (331)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Bedard
Roy
P1
40.2%
53.5%
P2
49.2%
51.6%
P3
47.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
45.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |