Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Aho 50.5% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Aho 61.1%
Defensive zone
Bedard 70.1%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.6%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Bedard
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
50.5% (878)
-6.3%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
53.5% (144)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
44.3% (61)
+9.5%
On power play, Bedard has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Bedard
Aho
Home
50.7% (223)
53.8% (571)
Away
42.6% (331)
46.9% (512)
By Period
Bedard
Aho
P1
40.2%
49.0%
P2
49.2%
51.7%
P3
47.2%
50.3%
OT
57.1%
58.8%
Final 5 min
45.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.5%