Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Pinto 51.1% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 75.9%
Defensive zone
Pinto 62.3%
Neutral zone
Bedard 57.8%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Bedard
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bedard
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Bedard
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Bedard
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
50.5% (556)
-6.3%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
68.0% (25)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
51.1% (94)
+2.7%
On even strength, Pinto has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Bedard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Bedard shoots right. Pinto is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Bedard
Pinto
Home
50.7% (223)
50.0% (310)
Away
42.6% (331)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Bedard
Pinto
P1
40.2%
51.8%
P2
49.2%
49.8%
P3
47.2%
53.1%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |