Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.4% vs Pinto 50.4% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Pinto 62.8%
Defensive zone
Pinto 86.2%
Neutral zone
Pinto 82.3%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Bedard
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Bedard
Pinto
Last 5: Bedard 2-3 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Bedard
Pinto
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,635)
50.7% (2,752)
-10.5%
Power Play
51.8% (83)
54.4% (90)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
45.6% (239)
+4.4%
On even strength, Pinto has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Bedard is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Bedard shoots right. Pinto is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Bedard
Pinto
Home
43.3% (785)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
38.9% (957)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Bedard
Pinto
P1
38.9%
48.4%
P2
41.2%
51.9%
P3
42.5%
50.9%
OT
42.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
44.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |