Connor Dewar vs Dylan Larkin

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dewar 47.1% vs Larkin 52.2% (-8.6%)
Offensive zone Larkin 68.0%
Defensive zone Dewar 68.9%
Neutral zone Larkin 56.5%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Dewar Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dewar
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (57)
51.1% (915)
-2.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.4% (261)
+40.6%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (31)
48.2% (168)
-15.9%
On power play, Dewar has a +40.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Dewar is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Dewar shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Dewar
Larkin
Home
50.0% (34)
51.7% (686)
Away
40.0% (55)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Dewar
Larkin
P1
46.7%
52.5%
P2
30.0%
52.7%
P3
59.3%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
55.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%
43.5%
43.8%
Larkin
48.0%
50.5%
52.4%