Connor Dewar vs Dylan Larkin

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Dewar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dewar 45.5% vs Larkin 52.7% (-7.6%)
H2H factor Larkin leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone Dewar 70.0%
Defensive zone Dewar 90.7%
Neutral zone Dewar 79.3%
Result Connor Dewar favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Dewar Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 10 (12 meetings)
2
10
Dewar Larkin
Last 10: Dewar 2-8 Larkin

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
7
Dewar Larkin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dewar Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
1
Dewar Larkin
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dewar
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
51.6% (9,056)
-6.2%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
58.6% (2,140)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
50.2% (1,124)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +8.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Dewar shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Home / Away
Dewar
Larkin
Home
43.8% (603)
53.9% (6,277)
Away
46.3% (656)
51.4% (6,043)
By Period
Dewar
Larkin
P1
43.7%
52.7%
P2
46.7%
53.1%
P3
45.0%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%
43.5%
45.1%
Larkin
48.0%
50.5%
52.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 27, 2024 1 10:03 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 14, 2024 3 06:35 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 27, 2023 2 16:54 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 27, 2023 2 13:54 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 27, 2023 2 06:40 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Nov 26, 2023 3 01:26 Defensive Connor Dewar
Nov 26, 2023 2 12:53 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 26, 2023 1 03:09 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Oct 29, 2022 1 09:56 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Oct 29, 2022 1 09:44 Defensive Connor Dewar
Oct 29, 2022 1 06:39 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Feb 14, 2022 3 05:05 Offensive Dylan Larkin