Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zucker on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zucker shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.1% vs Zucker 44.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zucker 87.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 84.0%
Neutral zone
Zucker 66.4%
Result
Jason Zucker favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Dewar
Zucker
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dewar
Zucker
Last 6: Dewar 2-4 Zucker
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zucker
0
3
Dewar
Zucker
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Zucker
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zucker
0
1
Dewar
Zucker
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Zucker
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (57)
54.5% (33)
-5.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
32.5% (83)
+67.5%
On power play, Dewar has a +67.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zucker shoots left. Dewar is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Dewar shoots left. Zucker is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Dewar
Zucker
Home
50.0% (34)
47.0% (66)
Away
40.0% (55)
28.0% (50)
By Period
Dewar
Zucker
P1
46.7%
50.0%
P2
30.0%
31.6%
P3
59.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.8%
Zucker
48.0%▲
38.0%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Zucker |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |