Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zucker on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zucker shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Zucker 38.0% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zucker 88.7%
Defensive zone
Dewar 81.2%
Neutral zone
Zucker 64.6%
Result
Jason Zucker favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Dewar
Zucker
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dewar
Zucker
Last 6: Dewar 2-4 Zucker
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zucker
0
3
Dewar
Zucker
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Zucker
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zucker
0
1
Dewar
Zucker
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Zucker
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
34.3% (204)
+11.1%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
36.4% (173)
+24.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
0.0% (4)
+41.7%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zucker shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Dewar shoots left. Zucker is 36.9% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Dewar
Zucker
Home
43.8% (603)
37.1% (194)
Away
46.3% (656)
32.6% (187)
By Period
Dewar
Zucker
P1
43.7%
39.6%
P2
46.7%
27.3%
P3
45.0%
38.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
30.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
Zucker
48.0%▲
38.0%
34.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Zucker |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jason Zucker |