Connor Dewar vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.1% vs Pageau 59.0% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 52.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 64.0%
Neutral zone
Dewar 58.4%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Dewar
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dewar
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Dewar
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (57)
59.4% (726)
-10.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
69.0% (42)
+31.0%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (31)
59.7% (221)
-27.4%
On power play, Dewar has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Dewar is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Dewar shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Dewar
Pageau
Home
50.0% (34)
58.4% (430)
Away
40.0% (55)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Dewar
Pageau
P1
46.7%
55.4%
P2
30.0%
61.8%
P3
59.3%
61.5%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.8%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |