Connor Dewar vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.7% vs Pageau 54.7% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 88.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 78.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 80.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 81.5%
18.5%
81.5%
Dewar
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Dewar
Pageau
Last 9: Dewar 6-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
3
1
Dewar
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
Dewar
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (990)
55.7% (9,301)
-10.3%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
56.8% (989)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (180)
49.5% (2,019)
-6.2%
On even strength, Pageau has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Dewar is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Dewar shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,648).
Home / Away
Dewar
Pageau
Home
43.7% (575)
56.3% (6,136)
Away
46.9% (618)
53.2% (6,173)
By Period
Dewar
Pageau
P1
43.5%
54.7%
P2
48.1%
56.2%
P3
44.3%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
46.0%▬
46.5%
45.3%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |