Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.1% vs Eller 55.0% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 61.6%
Defensive zone
Dewar 56.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Dewar
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dewar
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (57)
56.0% (459)
-6.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
77.8% (9)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (31)
51.9% (54)
-19.6%
On power play, Dewar has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dewar is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Dewar shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Dewar
Eller
Home
50.0% (34)
52.6% (215)
Away
40.0% (55)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Dewar
Eller
P1
46.7%
54.1%
P2
30.0%
57.6%
P3
59.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
42.9%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.8%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 01:50 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Lars Eller |