Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Dewar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Eller 50.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Dewar 74.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 72.2%
Neutral zone
Dewar 70.8%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Dewar
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Dewar
Eller
Last 10: Dewar 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
5
Dewar
Eller
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
4
5
Dewar
Eller
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
51.1% (10,321)
-5.7%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
52.8% (621)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
46.6% (1,759)
-4.9%
On power play, Dewar has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Dewar shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Dewar
Eller
Home
43.8% (603)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
46.3% (656)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Dewar
Eller
P1
43.7%
51.2%
P2
46.7%
50.1%
P3
45.0%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
47.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 01:50 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Lars Eller |