Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.1% vs Jankowski 53.1% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 69.0%
Defensive zone
Dewar 90.7%
Neutral zone
Dewar 75.6%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Dewar
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Dewar
Jankowski
Last 5: Dewar 0-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
3
Dewar
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Dewar
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (57)
53.7% (555)
-4.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (14)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (31)
54.3% (46)
-22.0%
On power play, Dewar has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Dewar is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Dewar shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Dewar
Jankowski
Home
50.0% (34)
53.2% (331)
Away
40.0% (55)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Dewar
Jankowski
P1
46.7%
52.7%
P2
30.0%
55.8%
P3
59.3%
52.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.8%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |