Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dewar wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.6% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 75.7%
Defensive zone
Dewar 78.3%
Neutral zone
Dewar 74.6%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Dewar
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Dewar
Jankowski
Last 9: Dewar 1-8 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
5
Dewar
Jankowski
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Dewar
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Dewar
Jankowski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (1,027)
51.5% (3,490)
-5.9%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
53.7% (95)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (198)
42.7% (534)
-0.8%
On power play, Dewar has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Dewar is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Dewar shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Home / Away
Dewar
Jankowski
Home
43.8% (603)
51.8% (1,961)
Away
46.7% (645)
49.1% (2,158)
By Period
Dewar
Jankowski
P1
43.9%
49.8%
P2
47.0%
51.1%
P3
44.9%
50.3%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
44.5%
45.3%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |