Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.1% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 84.1%
Defensive zone
Dewar 81.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.5%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Dewar
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dewar
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (57)
45.9% (697)
+3.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
47.9% (117)
+52.1%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (31)
48.0% (25)
-15.7%
On power play, Dewar has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Dewar is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Dewar shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Dewar
Schmaltz
Home
50.0% (34)
44.9% (434)
Away
40.0% (55)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Dewar
Schmaltz
P1
46.7%
41.5%
P2
30.0%
46.7%
P3
59.3%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.8%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |