Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 79.8%
Defensive zone
Dewar 76.2%
Neutral zone
Dewar 62.0%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Dewar
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Dewar
Schmaltz
Last 9: Dewar 5-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dewar
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
3
2
Dewar
Schmaltz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,037)
41.3% (3,431)
+4.1%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
47.3% (655)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
47.4% (135)
-5.7%
On power play, Dewar has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Dewar is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Dewar shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Home / Away
Dewar
Schmaltz
Home
43.8% (603)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
46.3% (656)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Dewar
Schmaltz
P1
43.7%
41.3%
P2
46.7%
42.8%
P3
45.0%
43.1%
OT
0.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
47.9%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
45.1%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |