Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.1% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-11.6%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 77.7%
Defensive zone
Dewar 73.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Dewar
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (57)
55.7% (856)
-6.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.5% (233)
+42.5%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (31)
50.0% (144)
-17.7%
On power play, Dewar has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dewar is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Dewar shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Dewar
O'Reilly
Home
50.0% (34)
55.5% (616)
Away
40.0% (55)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Dewar
O'Reilly
P1
46.7%
58.1%
P2
30.0%
54.9%
P3
59.3%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%