Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.1% vs Carrick 54.2% (-11.2%)
Offensive zone
Dewar 50.6%
Defensive zone
Dewar 55.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.2%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Dewar
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (57)
55.5% (470)
-6.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
66.7% (3)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (31)
50.0% (58)
-17.7%
On power play, Dewar has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Dewar is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Dewar shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Dewar
Carrick
Home
50.0% (34)
58.6% (261)
Away
40.0% (55)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Dewar
Carrick
P1
46.7%
55.9%
P2
30.0%
53.5%
P3
59.3%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
42.0%▼
43.5%
43.8%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%