Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.7% vs Thompson 42.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 61.0%
Defensive zone
Dewar 72.5%
Neutral zone
Dewar 57.0%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Dewar
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dewar
Thompson
Last 7: Dewar 4-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
1
Dewar
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Dewar
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
1
Dewar
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (990)
43.0% (3,363)
+2.4%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
46.9% (369)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (180)
33.3% (252)
+10.0%
On power play, Dewar has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Dewar is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Dewar shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,874).
Home / Away
Dewar
Thompson
Home
43.7% (575)
45.1% (2,037)
Away
46.9% (618)
40.2% (1,947)
By Period
Dewar
Thompson
P1
43.5%
44.7%
P2
48.1%
43.5%
P3
44.3%
40.3%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
47.9%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
46.0%▬
46.5%
45.3%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |