Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Haula 49.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 62.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 60.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 52.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
McDavid
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McDavid
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Haula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
McDavid
Haula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
49.9% (747)
-2.2%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
53.8% (78)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
42.4% (66)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
McDavid
Haula
Home
50.0% (412)
48.5% (468)
Away
45.7% (394)
51.1% (423)
By Period
McDavid
Haula
P1
48.0%
52.5%
P2
48.5%
51.1%
P3
47.1%
45.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |