Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Haula 52.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 28-20 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 72.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 74.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
McDavid
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
28
(48 meetings)
20
28
McDavid
Haula
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
10
12
McDavid
Haula
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
5
7
McDavid
Haula
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
5
9
McDavid
Haula
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
52.8% (7,726)
-5.1%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
57.3% (607)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
43.4% (798)
+0.4%
On power play, Haula has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Haula is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (5,827).
Home / Away
McDavid
Haula
Home
49.3% (4,582)
53.4% (4,520)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
51.3% (4,611)
By Period
McDavid
Haula
P1
46.5%
53.2%
P2
48.7%
51.4%
P3
48.3%
52.6%
OT
42.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |