Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (41.2% vs 41.0%). Look for Eichel on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.5% vs Eichel 41.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 51.7%
Defensive zone
Eichel 56.3%
Neutral zone
Eichel 55.3%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
McDavid
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McDavid
Eichel
Last 5: McDavid 1-4 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Eichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
3
McDavid
Eichel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (578)
41.7% (899)
-1.0%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
37.0% (54)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
25.9% (27)
+24.1%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. McDavid is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
McDavid shoots left. Eichel is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
McDavid
Eichel
Home
42.7% (323)
43.6% (489)
Away
39.5% (281)
38.5% (491)
By Period
McDavid
Eichel
P1
42.3%
42.6%
P2
37.3%
40.7%
P3
43.4%
38.9%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
36.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
41.2%
Eichel
48.0%▲
46.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |