Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 48.0%). Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Eichel 48.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 51.9%
Defensive zone
Eichel 52.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
McDavid
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McDavid
Eichel
Last 5: McDavid 3-2 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
1
McDavid
Eichel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
McDavid
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
48.2% (909)
-0.5%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
55.2% (67)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
41.2% (97)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. McDavid is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (226).
McDavid shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
McDavid
Eichel
Home
50.0% (412)
48.0% (564)
Away
45.7% (394)
47.9% (509)
By Period
McDavid
Eichel
P1
48.0%
49.8%
P2
48.5%
48.6%
P3
47.1%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |