Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 35 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Eichel 45.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 56-46 in 102 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 60.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 59.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 59.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
McDavid
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
56
-
46
(102 meetings)
56
46
McDavid
Eichel
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
22
13
McDavid
Eichel
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
12
10
McDavid
Eichel
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
22
23
McDavid
Eichel
45 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
44.8% (8,513)
+2.9%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
52.7% (929)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
37.8% (550)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. McDavid is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,120).
McDavid shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,079).
Home / Away
McDavid
Eichel
Home
49.3% (4,582)
45.8% (4,954)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
44.5% (5,038)
By Period
McDavid
Eichel
P1
46.5%
45.5%
P2
48.7%
45.8%
P3
48.3%
44.1%
OT
42.2%
44.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:49 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:19 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |