Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Benn 49.7% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Benn 53.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 57.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
McDavid
Benn
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
46.3% (67)
+1.4%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
61.1% (18)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
50.0% (2)
-1.1%
On power play, Benn has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Benn is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
McDavid
Benn
Home
50.0% (412)
48.8% (41)
Away
45.7% (394)
50.0% (46)
By Period
McDavid
Benn
P1
48.0%
34.6%
P2
48.5%
66.7%
P3
47.1%
45.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
49.4%