Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Benn 52.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 21-15 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 67.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 67.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
McDavid
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
21
(36 meetings)
15
21
McDavid
Benn
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
6
McDavid
Benn
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
McDavid
Benn
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
8
9
McDavid
Benn
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
53.5% (6,456)
-5.8%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
52.6% (2,055)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
49.3% (515)
-5.5%
On even strength, Benn has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,271).
Home / Away
McDavid
Benn
Home
49.3% (4,582)
54.9% (4,550)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
51.0% (4,492)
By Period
McDavid
Benn
P1
46.5%
51.9%
P2
48.7%
52.6%
P3
48.3%
54.0%
OT
42.2%
62.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:36 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 1 | 02:23 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |