Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Norris 49.9% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 55.2%
Defensive zone
Norris 51.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
McDavid
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
50.5% (388)
-2.8%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
47.6% (84)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
42.9% (7)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
McDavid
Norris
Home
50.0% (412)
48.1% (233)
Away
45.7% (394)
51.6% (246)
By Period
McDavid
Norris
P1
48.0%
53.1%
P2
48.5%
49.2%
P3
47.1%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%