Connor McDavid vs Luke Glendening
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Glendening 51.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 77.5%
Defensive zone
Glendening 75.9%
Neutral zone
Glendening 52.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
McDavid
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McDavid
Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Glendening
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
1
McDavid
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
53.6% (420)
-5.9%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
100.0% (4)
-50.7%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
47.3% (148)
+1.6%
On power play, Glendening has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. McDavid is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (226).
McDavid shoots left. Glendening is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
McDavid
Glendening
Home
50.0% (412)
48.0% (256)
Away
45.7% (394)
55.7% (316)
By Period
McDavid
Glendening
P1
48.0%
50.9%
P2
48.5%
51.7%
P3
47.1%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |