Connor McDavid vs Luke Glendening
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Glendening 55.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Glendening leads 28-16 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 93.9%
Defensive zone
McDavid 92.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 92.8%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
McDavid
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
28
(44 meetings)
16
28
McDavid
Glendening
Last 10: McDavid 2-8 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
7
4
McDavid
Glendening
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
5
14
McDavid
Glendening
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
4
10
McDavid
Glendening
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
57.9% (7,786)
-10.2%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
56.4% (195)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
48.6% (2,505)
-4.8%
On even strength, Glendening has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. McDavid is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,120).
McDavid shoots left. Glendening is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,262).
Home / Away
McDavid
Glendening
Home
49.3% (4,582)
55.4% (5,270)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
55.9% (5,216)
By Period
McDavid
Glendening
P1
46.5%
56.1%
P2
48.7%
54.5%
P3
48.3%
56.5%
OT
42.2%
48.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 08:04 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 08:18 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |