Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Kunin 50.3% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 69.9%
Defensive zone
Kunin 65.9%
Neutral zone
Kunin 50.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
McDavid
Kunin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
51.5% (305)
-3.8%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
55.6% (9)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
43.9% (57)
+5.0%
On power play, Kunin has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. McDavid is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (226).
McDavid shoots left. Kunin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kunin
Home
50.0% (412)
50.0% (178)
Away
45.7% (394)
50.8% (193)
By Period
McDavid
Kunin
P1
48.0%
53.0%
P2
48.5%
53.8%
P3
47.1%
44.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%