Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Kunin 46.1% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Kunin leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 54.4%
Defensive zone
Kunin 77.3%
Neutral zone
Kunin 69.4%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
McDavid
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
McDavid
Kunin
Last 10: McDavid 2-8 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Kunin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
7
McDavid
Kunin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
3
McDavid
Kunin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
47.0% (1,667)
+0.7%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
46.0% (139)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
40.3% (335)
+3.5%
On power play, McDavid has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. McDavid is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,120).
McDavid shoots left. Kunin is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,537).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kunin
Home
49.3% (4,582)
45.4% (1,075)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
46.4% (1,066)
By Period
McDavid
Kunin
P1
46.5%
47.7%
P2
48.7%
45.7%
P3
48.3%
44.1%
OT
42.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |