Connor McDavid vs Mason McTavish
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.7%). Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs McTavish 48.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.8%
Neutral zone
McTavish 55.8%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
McDavid
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
McDavid
McTavish
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
McDavid
McTavish
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
2
McDavid
McTavish
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
1
McDavid
McTavish
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
48.2% (2,790)
-0.5%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
52.8% (436)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
34.3% (35)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
Home / Away
McDavid
McTavish
Home
49.3% (4,582)
49.8% (1,680)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
47.4% (1,581)
By Period
McDavid
McTavish
P1
46.5%
50.0%
P2
48.7%
47.7%
P3
48.3%
48.4%
OT
42.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 09:03 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 03:30 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |