Connor McDavid vs Nico Hischier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Hischier 52.7% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 40-38 in 78 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 57.6%
Defensive zone
Hischier 61.9%
Neutral zone
Hischier 59.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
McDavid
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
38
(78 meetings)
40
38
McDavid
Hischier
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
13
11
McDavid
Hischier
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
12
9
McDavid
Hischier
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
15
18
McDavid
Hischier
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
51.6% (8,444)
-3.9%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
59.9% (1,749)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
49.3% (918)
-5.5%
On power play, Hischier has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Hischier is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,097).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hischier
Home
49.3% (4,582)
53.0% (5,477)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
52.4% (5,634)
By Period
McDavid
Hischier
P1
46.5%
52.9%
P2
48.7%
52.6%
P3
48.3%
52.7%
OT
42.2%
50.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:36 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:31 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:27 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:25 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |