Connor McDavid vs Philipp Kurashev
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kurashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Kurashev 46.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 69.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 60.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
McDavid
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McDavid
Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Kurashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
50.0% (46)
-2.3%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
40.7% (27)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
0.0% (6)
+48.9%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +48.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Kurashev is 30.4% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kurashev
Home
50.0% (412)
37.5% (40)
Away
45.7% (394)
48.7% (39)
By Period
McDavid
Kurashev
P1
48.0%
48.6%
P2
48.5%
40.0%
P3
47.1%
37.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |