Connor McDavid vs Philipp Kurashev
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Kurashev 44.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 75.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 84.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 69.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
McDavid
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
McDavid
Kurashev
Last 10: McDavid 8-2 Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
2
McDavid
Kurashev
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
0
McDavid
Kurashev
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kurashev
0
1
McDavid
Kurashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
44.6% (924)
+3.1%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
43.6% (156)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
42.1% (38)
+1.7%
On power play, McDavid has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Kurashev is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kurashev
Home
49.3% (4,582)
44.5% (521)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
44.2% (597)
By Period
McDavid
Kurashev
P1
46.5%
46.1%
P2
48.7%
44.4%
P3
48.3%
42.9%
OT
42.2%
38.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 11:29 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:22 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |