Connor McDavid vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Danault 54.5% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.5%
Defensive zone
Danault 72.2%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.6%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
McDavid
Danault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
56.2% (745)
-8.5%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
45.1% (51)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
51.6% (124)
-2.7%
On even strength, Danault has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
McDavid
Danault
Home
50.0% (412)
56.7% (402)
Away
45.7% (394)
53.7% (518)
By Period
McDavid
Danault
P1
48.0%
55.5%
P2
48.5%
54.2%
P3
47.1%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%