Connor McDavid vs Phillip Danault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 47 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Danault 53.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 79-72 in 151 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 70.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 53.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 58.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
McDavid
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
72
-
79
(151 meetings)
72
79
McDavid
Danault
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
28
11
McDavid
Danault
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
12
35
McDavid
Danault
47 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
32
33
McDavid
Danault
65 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
53.6% (9,481)
-5.9%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
61.3% (758)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
47.4% (1,710)
-3.6%
On power play, Danault has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Danault is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,902).
Home / Away
McDavid
Danault
Home
49.3% (4,582)
54.2% (5,843)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
52.3% (6,106)
By Period
McDavid
Danault
P1
46.5%
53.7%
P2
48.7%
53.4%
P3
48.3%
52.7%
OT
42.2%
49.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |