Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Faksa 54.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 78.0%
Defensive zone
Faksa 71.2%
Neutral zone
Faksa 55.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
McDavid
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McDavid
Faksa
Last 5: McDavid 3-2 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Faksa
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
2
McDavid
Faksa
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
55.1% (584)
-0.8%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
66.7% (12)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
53.5% (99)
-20.2%
On power play, Faksa has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Faksa is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
McDavid
Faksa
Home
53.6% (507)
54.5% (341)
Away
53.8% (539)
55.6% (354)
By Period
McDavid
Faksa
P1
52.6%
60.9%
P2
54.1%
53.9%
P3
54.9%
51.4%
OT
44.4%
54.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
53.7%
Faksa
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |