Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 48.1% vs Faksa 53.2% (-6.1%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 80.2%
Defensive zone
Faksa 77.5%
Neutral zone
Faksa 51.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
McDavid
Faksa
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (686)
56.4% (289)
-8.7%
Power Play
49.3% (75)
0.0% (2)
+49.3%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (45)
49.2% (126)
-0.3%
On power play, McDavid has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
McDavid shoots left. Faksa is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
McDavid
Faksa
Home
50.0% (412)
54.9% (182)
Away
45.7% (394)
53.2% (235)
By Period
McDavid
Faksa
P1
48.0%
61.1%
P2
48.5%
51.3%
P3
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%