Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Rakell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Rakell 49.6% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Rakell 53.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 73.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
McDavid
Rakell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
37.5% (16)
+14.0%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
80.0% (5)
-16.1%
On power play, Rakell has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. McDavid is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (357).
McDavid shoots left. Rakell is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
McDavid
Rakell
Home
50.7% (513)
66.7% (9)
Away
53.2% (498)
33.3% (12)
By Period
McDavid
Rakell
P1
52.3%
75.0%
P2
51.6%
42.9%
P3
51.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
56.5%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
51.9%
Rakell
24.0%▼
40.0%
47.6%