Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 47.2%). Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Bennett 47.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 39-22 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 56.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 59.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
McDavid
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
22
(61 meetings)
39
22
McDavid
Bennett
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
10
9
McDavid
Bennett
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
14
5
McDavid
Bennett
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
15
8
McDavid
Bennett
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
46.8% (5,714)
+0.9%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
53.6% (558)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
41.8% (256)
+2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
McDavid
Bennett
Home
49.3% (4,582)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
McDavid
Bennett
P1
46.5%
48.0%
P2
48.7%
46.5%
P3
48.3%
46.8%
OT
42.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:01 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |