Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Couturier 55.6% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 75.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 82.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 81.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
McDavid
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McDavid
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
55.1% (1,008)
-7.4%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
64.1% (142)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
53.3% (45)
-31.1%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
McDavid
Couturier
Home
47.3% (387)
58.1% (609)
Away
48.1% (389)
53.9% (586)
By Period
McDavid
Couturier
P1
47.6%
55.3%
P2
50.0%
55.8%
P3
45.0%
57.4%
Final 5 min
46.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.7%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |