Connor McDavid vs Sean Monahan

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sean Monahan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 35 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.8% vs Monahan 51.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor Monahan leads 61-42 in 103 meetings
Offensive zone McDavid 71.3%
Defensive zone McDavid 69.3%
Neutral zone McDavid 70.9%
Result Connor McDavid favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
McDavid Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
42 - 61 (103 meetings)
42
61
McDavid Monahan
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Monahan

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
20
22
McDavid Monahan
42 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
9
17
McDavid Monahan
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
13
22
McDavid Monahan
35 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
51.1% (11,407)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
53.6% (2,582)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
45.9% (772)
-2.1%
On even strength, Monahan has a +3.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
McDavid
Monahan
Home
49.3% (4,582)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
McDavid
Monahan
P1
46.5%
51.0%
P2
48.7%
51.7%
P3
48.3%
51.0%
OT
42.2%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%
51.5%
47.8%
Monahan
40.0%
51.0%
51.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 13, 2025 2 19:50 Defensive Sean Monahan
Nov 13, 2025 1 00:36 Offensive Sean Monahan
Nov 10, 2025 3 00:58 Neutral Sean Monahan
Nov 10, 2025 1 02:03 Neutral Sean Monahan
Dec 5, 2024 3 14:36 Defensive Sean Monahan
Dec 5, 2024 3 10:29 Defensive Connor McDavid
Dec 5, 2024 3 04:49 Neutral Sean Monahan
Dec 5, 2024 3 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Dec 5, 2024 1 16:38 Offensive Sean Monahan
Oct 28, 2024 1 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Mar 26, 2024 2 19:00 Offensive Connor McDavid
Jan 13, 2024 3 16:55 Defensive Sean Monahan
Jan 13, 2024 3 13:46 Defensive Sean Monahan
Jan 13, 2024 3 11:34 Offensive Connor McDavid
Jan 13, 2024 1 13:36 Defensive Sean Monahan
Jan 13, 2024 1 13:28 Offensive Connor McDavid
Dec 3, 2022 1 00:30 Offensive Sean Monahan
Jan 22, 2022 3 14:59 Neutral Connor McDavid
Jan 22, 2022 3 08:44 Offensive Sean Monahan
Jan 22, 2022 3 05:56 Offensive Sean Monahan