Connor McDavid vs Steven Lorentz

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.4%). Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McDavid 47.8% vs Lorentz 48.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor McDavid leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone McDavid 70.1%
Defensive zone Lorentz 50.7%
Neutral zone McDavid 56.9%
Result Connor McDavid favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
McDavid Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 2 (10 meetings)
8
2
McDavid Lorentz
Last 10: McDavid 8-2 Lorentz

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
0
McDavid Lorentz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
0
McDavid Lorentz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid Lorentz
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McDavid
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,394)
48.9% (1,125)
-1.2%
Power Play
52.1% (374)
50.0% (26)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (281)
41.8% (91)
+2.0%

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
McDavid shoots left. Lorentz is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
McDavid
Lorentz
Home
49.3% (4,582)
50.6% (609)
Away
46.2% (4,467)
46.3% (633)
By Period
McDavid
Lorentz
P1
46.5%
53.0%
P2
48.7%
46.7%
P3
48.3%
46.2%
OT
42.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
52.0%
51.5%
47.8%
Lorentz
48.0%
48.0%
48.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 16, 2023 2 16:22 Neutral Connor McDavid
Apr 13, 2023 2 09:18 Defensive Connor McDavid
Apr 13, 2023 2 05:02 Neutral Steven Lorentz
Apr 13, 2023 1 00:34 Offensive Connor McDavid
Apr 8, 2023 2 15:58 Offensive Connor McDavid
Mar 20, 2023 3 19:13 Offensive Connor McDavid
Mar 20, 2023 2 08:32 Neutral Connor McDavid
Mar 20, 2023 1 11:43 Defensive Connor McDavid
Jan 13, 2023 2 13:07 Neutral Steven Lorentz
Jan 13, 2023 1 17:13 Defensive Connor McDavid