Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Haula 49.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 83.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 70.0%
Neutral zone
Haula 79.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 82.9%
17.1%
82.9%
McMichael
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McMichael
Haula
Last 5: McMichael 4-1 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
1
McMichael
Haula
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Haula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
49.9% (747)
-7.0%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
53.8% (78)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
42.4% (66)
-3.4%
On even strength, Haula has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
McMichael shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
McMichael
Haula
Home
43.0% (298)
48.5% (468)
Away
42.6% (270)
51.1% (423)
By Period
McMichael
Haula
P1
46.6%
52.5%
P2
40.8%
51.1%
P3
41.8%
45.9%
Final 5 min
43.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Erik Haula |